Pints and Picks week 13: Rivalry Week is a bettor’s Black Friday

Each week, during college football season DPB’s Kyle Magin and Andrew J. Pridgen pour on the prose with Pints and Picks™. Who to wager and what to drink while doing it. This week: #rivalryweek:

maginIAJ,

My neighbor is a big USC fan, owing to his upbringing. We frequently commiserate over college football while our dogs chase one another and sniff rear ends. I am amazed at his antipathy toward UCLA, a recurring theme in our backyard chats. I shouldn’t be, because it makes sense: the two share a city, part of a recruiting base and a league. But I suppose I always assumed SC’s rival was Notre Dame, or Oregon, which has been much more competitive with the Trojans during my lifetime/awareness of West Coast sports. But he hates UCLA. A win over the Bruins would salvage a 4-loss season for him. It’d soothe the pain of national title hopes gone off the rails. That’s pretty crazy. Despite their recent string of dominance over the Trojans in the series, the Bruins haven’t been a major factor nationally by this point in a season in about 18 years. For most of the games my neighbor has ever attended or seen in his 30 years on this earth, UCLA hasn’t been a threat to USC’s national cache. From the outside looking in, the hate doesn’t make sense.

That’s a big part of what college rivalries are about. They’re sometimes sensical but mostly not. A loss in a rivalry game can destroy or make your whole week, especially if you work/study/live in proximity to an enemy fan. Throw in family ties and the togetherness Thanksgiving forces upon us and it can either enforce a tribal or bunker mentality that brings out the most spiteful urges even in the saints among us. That said, here is a ranking of the best rivalry games this weekend:

6 Iron Bowl

Because ESPN is the SEC’s official hype machine this game gets way more attention than it deserves. In its best years it decides the course of the national title chase. In most other years it’s an intrastate battle between a contender and a scrub or two scrubs, with an overblown history courtesy of the Finebaum/ESPN alliance.

5 Oregon-OSU

AJ, I’m going to put this here as a placeholder because it seems like a bit of a locals vs. imports blood feud. Care to elaborate?

4 Florida-FSU

The smarties-versus-jocks/ag kids/teacher college is a winner for stoking rivalries. Throw some accelerant on it by having two ranked teams and the Gators in the playoff chase and this should be a classic.

3 USC-UCLA

This will be, hands-down, the most pleasant place in which to register your hate this weekend. Temps are expected to be in the sixties when the Trojans and Bruins get it on at the Coliseum. This game is so great because you’re a) guaranteed to see it in a well-designed classic of a stadium (the Coliseum has hosted two Olympics and the Rose Bowl is the Rose Bowl) b) going to see USC’s song girls and c) are probably going to see oodles of NFL talent. AJ, as you’ve pointed out, SC is essentially an NFL nursery and the likes of longtime pros such as Mercedes Lewis and Troy Aikman have made their way through Westwood. The games are almost always crisply-played affairs through a combination of skill and weather and if a team gets an advantage they’ll press the living shit out of it: four of the last five games have been decided by more than two touchdowns, and what feels better than embarrassing your rival?

2 OSU-Michigan

Take a drink every time someone says ‘Woody and Bo’ and you’ll be left-eye shut, knee-walking housed by halftime. For some reason those particular names are followed by ‘are watching from Heaven and enjoying this one.’ That fully sets aside the fact that Woody Hayes was an evil asshole who struck opposing fans and players with vigor. Any Heaven that may have him is suspect. Also, do you really want to picture those two watching a game? Schembechler was a loudmouthed cuss with a grating Michigan accent (I say this as someone from Michigan) and they’d re-kill one another by halftime. It’s that hate that makes this rivalry particularly special. Born of an actual 19th century bloodless battle between militias from the two states for… Toledo… the animosity between Michiganders and Ohioans elevates whatever is happening on the field to a matter of great import. That holds true even in years when John Cooper is crashing the Buckeye program and Brady Hoke is sending kids out for their third and fourth concussions of the day. This year, both teams enter with 1 league loss and an off-chance of making the B1G title game.

1 Bedlam

Bedlam is the Big 12’s most redeeming feature. It’s an academic backwater league full of shiny oil money stadiums and Texas’ ego. That said, Big 12 games in November are how God intended football to be played. 80-plus point affairs under the lights in frosty conditions. Quarterbacks who torch secondaries and secondaries who oblige said torchings. This is the land of Sam Bradford and Brandon Weeden, who, whatever their failings at the next level, could friggin’ sling it during their days on the Great Plains. With Mike Gundy’s accent at Oklahoma State and Bob Stoops’ continued excellence at Oklahoma, Bedlam is an Ender’s Game-style war where you dare not get out of your seat for fear of missing something really spectacular. Bedlam has gone to overtime twice in the last five years and has only been decided by more than two possessions just once in that period. Gameday will be on hand in Stillwater Saturday and your TV should be, too.

pridgenIKyle,

In the fall of 1994, yes, 21 years ago to the weekend, I hitched a ride with a couple of older guys (remember when the difference between 19 and 22 might as well have been three decades?) about 45 miles north of U of O campus to Corvallis.

It was one of those things where one of my friends’ girlfriends’ best friends was dating some guy from Oregon State so we were going to go hit up his pre-game party, make our way to Reser Stadium and try to crash a little more of the after-party action. The game started around four, but we packed up my buddy’s burgundy Jeep Cherokee for an 8 a.m. start and made haste for McBreakfast before pointing it up the 5. Pretty sure we stopped for beers and snacks at the Plaid Pantry somewhere about 20 minutes into the trip and then again for round two of road sodas when we turned off the Interstate toward campus. There’s something about college and children that can stretch a 45-minute road trip into a time commitment north of a hangover Sunday viewing of Gandhi on TNT.

We rolled up to our host’s house around noon. Unlike the near-campus housing I was used to in Eugene—all wet wool sock smells and indoor wood paneling with lichen growing on it—this condo was new construction with some kind of laminate flooring that wasn’t yet broken in enough to be movie-floor sticky, sliding doors that actually slid and an un-landscaped backyard complete with a fire pit. There were various red cups scattered about like captured pawns and a beckoning beer bong dangling from a plant hook. Our host came bounding up to make our introduction and give his long-distance girl from Eugene (who we all had a crush on) a big squeeze.

My crew, a quartet of transplanted Californians, were nothing if not interlopers compared to the Oregon State students who hailed mostly from the rural parts of the state; places with worthy names like Pendleton and Hermiston. Our gracious guide, Sean “Party” Fowler was no exception. He looked like he was late for a Tim McGraw show in a black cowboy hat, matching Sunday-shiny shitkickers and just a hint of Kodiak on his breath. He welcomed us with foamy cups of outdoor-chilled Busch Light “just tapped fresh” he nodded. Along with some kind of reddish brown concoction that was supposed to be Jell-o shots but didn’t quite freeze. I liked the whole of him immediately.

His friends were warm and welcoming and spoke mostly of courses unfamiliar. The study of real stuff like animal husbandry and foundation-laying. If my mediocre liberal arts education prepared me for a job at Enterprise, they were going all Temple Grandin up in here as capable undergrads. These were men and women who knew how to do shit and, quite frankly, in my buzzed state, I was a little overwhelmed and a smidge jealous.

I only remember snippets from that day from there on. Corvallis was one giant mud bog. It was muddy in Party Fowler’s back yard. It was muddy on the walk to the game. It was muddy in the parking lot and it was muddy inside the stadium. It was muddy trudging around looking for a party that would let us in. It was muddy when I got separated from everyone. It was muddy when I walked a girl back to her house and it was muddy when I skulked around for a couple hours more after she wouldn’t let me come in. It was muddy on Party Fowler’s floor when I woke up in the morning. It was muddy on the walk back to the Cherokee.

Most of all, my memory of it was muddy especially in the gray light of the morning after. How I made it back into the house, I’ll never know. This is the day before communication came in the palm of a hand. Granted, I probably would have dropped my phone in the mud anyway.

I must have tried a half-dozen breakwaters as the sleety rain grew stronger after midnight. I even attempted to curl up on a porch swing. If only by the grace of a group of structural engineers lingering at a dying backyard party who let me warm by the fire and knew a guy matching Fowler’s description a few doors down, I found my way.

And so, Kyle, I’ve never returned to Corvallis. Not after that day. Two decades on and it lives in a convenient and warm fog on that bookshelf next to pleasant first dates and getting to pick up my first tab for my dad. I don’t know what happened to Party Fowler or his girlfriend. I haven’t spoken to my ride up there since the late-1990s, when I tried to get a job from him at Enterprise. The benevolent rivals I met that day who sent me safely on my way have long since moved on and I’m sure have created the infrastructure that connects all of the state of Oregon or at least discovered a healthier feed to get beef to marble.

Like the mascot suggests, I learned the Beavers are an industrious sort. I came away thinking I was the one lacking in backbone and ingenuity. Though, like any good Duck, I also gained that day—and have carried with me—the ability to keep paddling upstream as the rains bead up and run off my back.

Kyle?

maginIAJ,

That story is exactly what I was looking for. The liberal arts/useful major, locals/out-of-staters, rich kids/farm kids dynamic is what adds teeth to any good rivalry. It’s why Texas versus pretty much anybody in their corner of the map is fun, ditto Stanford versus pretty much any school from the Pac-12 South.

It’s also the opposite of the ‘story’ the B1G has foisted upon Michigan State and Penn State in their pretty-much-annual end-of-season showdown. Jim Delany and his money-grubbing minions would love for the Land Grant Trophy to be something MSU and PSU fans cherish. Since the real rivals for both schools–Michigan and, uh, I guess Pitt?–are otherwise occupied, the B1G has thrown these two together for two and a half decades now and it’s never really taken. Sure, there have been a handful of classics--TJ Duckett dragging PSU defenders into the end zone for his fourth TD of the game in 1999 comes to mind–but, like, I don’t bear Penn State players, coaches (except the one) and fans any animosity. Courtney Brown and LaVar Arrington could both sit down to a beer with me, while former Wolverines David Terrell and Braylon Edwards could both choke on one, for all I care. MSU and PSU are both, as the trophy unimaginatively states, land grant universities. They’re both made up of generally in-state, working-class kids majoring in everything you can major in at B1G state schools–arts, teaching, ag, sciences, packaging, you name it. Crucially, they’re 455 miles apart and didn’t really play before Penn State joined the league in the 90s. There’s no sepia footage of Biggie Munn and Joe Paterno or Duffy Dougherty and Joe Paterno or Muddy Waters and Joe Paterno’s squads getting it on. The ‘rivalry’ is totally a construct of the ESPN age. It’s a rivalry I was handed at 10 and told was a rivalry by the institutional powers that be, rather than intuitively, like my parents watching Michigan State-ND in different rooms because my dad is too tense to be around people for any notable Irish rivalry; or MSU-Michigan, which damns the loser’s fans to taunting the following Monday in elementary school. Those are rivalries because you just know they are. They’re rivalries because you feel the ecstasy and agony in your bones rather than having to be told so by Brent Musburger. Nevertheless, here we are…

Penn State +11 @ Michigan State

Did you get this line early? Back when it was MSU MINUS ONE POINT FIVE!?!?!!?!? There was a collective jaw-drop when the line first dropped Monday. Shock and awe. What did Vegas know that the rest of us didn’t? Was it going to be like when ranked Utah was a dog against a clearly disorganized USC team earlier this season and the Trojans handled business and the book came out smelling like roses? To their credit, most Spartan fans didn’t panic, and to the book’s credit, it realized that it didn’t want to lose a shitload of money and amended the line by 9.5 points by Wednesday. I actually like PSU +11 for the following reasons: MSU’s D-backs are young and unsteady and Lions QB Christian Hackenberg, for all of his over-rated glory, hits his deep shots pretty consistently and almost never turns it over (3 INT all year.) He’s been used more conservatively this season, but the weather is expected to be cold but clear Saturday in East Lansing and I expect he won’t have a hard time finding his targets. Also, MSU has been calling games so conservatively it’d make Barry Goldwater blush. While I don’t expect a Spartan defeat, I do expect the game to remain closer than 11. The Spartans will be playing their senior day game on the Saturday after Thanksgiving meaning the homefield advantage won’t be what it usually is.

Western Michigan @ Toledo -8

The Broncos haven’t won a game after Nov. 22 yet under Coach PJ Fleck and I don’t expect them to start now. Listen, for all the Row The Boat hype under the third-year head man in Kalamazoo, Western is a 6-5 team coming off two straight losses heading into the final regular season game against a MAC powerhouse in Toledo (9-1) on the road. A rainy day in Toledo will keep both teams on the ground, and that’s not good news for Western: the Broncos give up 5.3 yards per rush as opposed to the Rockets’ 3.3 yards. Add in the fact that Toledo has forced an astounding 24 fumbles–that’s close to 2.5 per game–and you’re not entering an environment that’s conducive to winning. The Broncos’ line, which is competent in the run game, is absolutely atrocious in the pass game, so if WMU is playing from behind, expect a line that’s given up 28 sacks versus a line that’s delivered 24 of them to reach an inevitable conclusion.

Florida State -2 @ Florida

It’s patently absurd that at this point in the season, the 9-2 Seminoles are the most battle-tested of the Sunshine State teams. That’s purely because their ACC “schedule” included Clemson. 10-1 Florida has dominated in point differential against the august likes of the SEC east–a division where 57 percent of the teams have a losing record overall and nobody save the Gators has less than three conference losses. The ‘Noles do this in the Swamp.

Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State Over 69

The 10-1 Cowboys were devastated last week in a 45-35 loss to Baylor, a more thorough beating than the score suggests. Oklahoma hasn’t lost in a month and a half, racking up totals of 44-plus points in every game of that stretch save last week’s 30-point effort versus TCU. Nothing is stopping these offenses at this point in season, even the freezing rain forecasted for Stillwater Saturday. You know why? Both teams have short games that are on point. The Sooners’ Samaje Perine averages 6 yards per carry and has 1160 yards this season. The Cowboys are more pass-oriented, but they have a slew of sure-handed receivers (QB Mason Rudolph is second in the Big 12 in pass completions) who can haul the under routes in and hang on to the ball. I’d look for both squads to light up the scoreboard at Boone Pickens Stadium Saturday.

pridgenIKyle,

I’m going to freestyle my picks this week. It’s the only way (good call on that early line MSU/Penn State btw. What happened there?) Not that there’s not value in doing research all week and checking things out that make sense (does that make sense?) in order to make an educated guess at the spread—but I feel like sometimes I get mired in the #sportsjargon which plagues columns like this. And the whole point was not to, so….Also, I was watching The Other Woman the other night waiting for the turkey to brine at 1:23 a.m. when I should have been sleeping and it’s so strange to see Cameron Diaz as not exactly post-menopausal Diane Keaton yet but getting toward that place. Hollywood is a bitch man. Especially if you’re a woman.

Speaking of Tinsel Town, there’s no place I’d rather be than Outer Watts this weekend (well, maybe Pasadena) for all the agreeable reasons you mentioned that make UCLA/USC the other fall classic—not to mention the only Uber-sponsored rivalry game in the nation. Autumn in LA is, well, mostly like summer anywhere else but with people wearing beanies and flannel just because of the turkey border that shows up on the Shutterfly calendar.

There’s a winking element of manifest destiny implicit in this showdown. Like, you can have your packed stadia and sideline history recollects, but we’ll make our game more pleasant than fresh-squeezed chaser and be good with that.

I also think it must be a strange thing attempting to attend a UCLA/USC game as a student. Like, they just don’t really. A college rivalry without the total buy-in of the student body is indigenous to LA akin to how the biggest metro basin in the world has survived for a couple decades independently from the NFL. And really, its only NFL fans are transplants who don’t realize there’s a million taco trucks and hikes up to Griffith Park hikes and hidden coves in Malibu to explore instead of watching Lime-A-Rita ads in some artificially dark pub next to another guy from Cleveland trying to become the next Drew Carey. In other words, LA is about a decade ahead of the rest of the country in that it has figured out how to ‘do’ football by mostly ignoring it.

On the other hand, at this moment USC/UCLA are pretty much the defacto professional franchises of record this season south and east of La Brea and so any rivalry is ginned up by fans of a certain age, ie., Kyle, your neighbor.

Now the picks:

Oregon -30 vs Oregon State

No in-state rivalry (see: my previous entry above) should be this lopsided. The problem is Oregon’s clicking, big time and Oregon State is a more dead-end cause than trying to get a re-apply for a refund on your 2012 taxes because you calculated wrong (<–wholly based on personal experience). Thirty’s a lot and a kind of week 1 Woebegone State vs. SEC Juggernaut spread, so I won’t be surprised if the Beavs keep it within 25. Then again, the final should be something like 48-14 which doesn’t seem like 30 but is.

Boise State -10 @ San Jose State

SJSU has let me down one too many times this year and by that I mean one, I think. Boise State is coming off two inexplicable losses to New Mexico and Air Force which tightened up the spread. Time to pounce.

Michigan +2.5 vs. Ohio State

Fuck it. Michigan’s better than Ohio State. They’re at home too in case you didn’t notice. Are all rivalry games this easy to call?

Oklahoma -3.5 @ Oklahoma State

Sooners are the best one-loss team in the country right now. The only team that could play them within a touchdown is the three-loss Ducks. A dream match-up we’ll never see in a field of four playoff.

UNLV -3 @ Wyoming

Nobody in Vegas has noticed that UNLV is actually a .500ish team whose record happens to be 3-8 and Wyoming is a .000ish team (and would be minus a strange win vs. Nevada) which happens to be 1-10. Because UNLV is momentum-rich wrapping year one of their five-year plan to prominence, I pick the Rebs to take it to the ‘Boys in Laramie.

South Carolina +15.5 vs. Clemson

The Citadel. I get it. The Gamecocks have looked mostly lost and afraid this season and that’s exactly why they’ll keep it close vs. the Tigers. Everyone in the country outside Dabo after all, is waiting for that other cleat to fall. The storyline sets up waaaaay too nicely for there not to be the threat of an upset.

Stanford +2 vs. Notre Dame

The game I’ve been waiting for Kyle. Stanford wins this faster and better than you can say Christian Jackson McCaffrey. Notre Dame QB DeShone Kizer has no answers for the Cardinal’s fast and physical front seven, and the Irish secondary is garbage and so are their front five. Stanford has the edge in every aspect, including home field. Sorry, no. 4, your luck’s run out.

pridgenIAJ

Last week: 3 for 4

Overall: 22 for 35 (one tie)

Oregon -30 vs Oregon State

Boise State -10 @ San Jose State

Michigan +2.5 vs. Ohio State

Oklahoma -3.5 @ Oklahoma State

UNLV -3 @ Wyoming

South Carolina +15.5 vs. Clemson

Stanford +2 vs. Notre Dame

maginIKyle

Last week: 3 for 4

Overall: 23 for 41

Penn State +11 @ Michigan State

Western Michigan @ Toledo -8

Florida State -2 @ Florida

Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State Over 69

Pints and Picks Special Edition: It’s Tourneytime in Vegas

During college football season each week DPB’s Kyle Magin and Andrew J. Pridgen pour on the prose with Pints and Picks™. Who to wager and what to drink while doing it. Here, a very special PNP—Viva Las Tournament—starring Kyle Magin as “That Guy’ barely standing like a Clown Bop Bag next to the Wheel of Fortune at 4:14 a.m. with a fistfull of balled up ATM receipts/betting slips taking pulls off a guitar-shaped Piña Colada (gluten-free).

Ladies and Gentleman, the man who’s currently somewhere around Barstow on the edge of the desert where the drugs are beginning to take hold…Kyle Magin:

kyleIVAJ,

I’ve got the adult version of senioritis this week, and as I start this post Monday night I know the next two days before heading off to Vegas are going to be agonizing. I want nothing more than to not be at the old 9-5 and instead be poolside hoping like hell that the beer and brat crowd from the I-94 corridor will put their damn shirts on.

That said, we’ve got business to attend to with THE OPENING ROUND OF THE 2015 NCAA TOURNAMENT.

I want to first catch our readers up on five things that happened in college basketball this season in case they’re just tuning in after paying attention to their families, careers and waistlines following the end of football.

  1. Gonzaga looks great again. The Bulldogs (32-2) went 6-2 against tournament teams this year and freshman Domantas Sabonis (mini-Arvydas) hits 70 percent of the shots he takes and the team leads the nation in field goal percentage at 52 percent. It’s a typical, efficient Mark Few offense. They’re poised to be Few’s first team in six years to get to the second weekend.
  1. This year’s one-and-done crowd is special. Duke’s Jahlil Okafor is an absolute monster. The 6’11” freshman center hits 67 percent of his shots and scores nearly 18 points per game. He averages just shy of a double-double in one of the two best conferences in basketball and buys his guards all sorts of space by drawing double teams. Ohio State’s DeAngelo Russell had a special, special regular season. On top of being a standout scorer, he does all the right things on defense, throws 5.6 dimes per game and grabs more than 5 rebounds. Then he absolutely went off during the Buckeyes’ Big Ten tournament run, scoring 21 points per game.
  1. Chicago kids are playing great college basketball right now, just not in Illinois. Kentucky freshman guard Tyler Ulis and Okafor wrecked their respective leagues this season. A scan of the bracket will reveal there are no Illinois teams in the field. Land of Lincoln coaches like the Illini’s John Groce have watched a succession of Windy City recruits amble out of state for greener pastures elsewhere. Until those teams can break back into the city, you won’t see them in the Big Dance.
  1. The Wildcats might be a little bit overrated. Look, both Kentucky and Arizona played pretty impressive out-of-conference schedules. It’s their conferences that leave more than a bit to be desired. The SEC is total dogshit. Outside of Arkansas, Kentucky hasn’t played a quality game in 90 days. Arizona’s two games against Utah are analogous, the rest of the league produced some charity bids who won’t see weekend No. 2. Their two losses to UNLV and Oregon State are downright ugly. It’s going to be interesting to see how both respond when they see real quality competition again.
  1. Notre Dame’s Mike Brey hung a banner. The Irish won last weekend’s ACC tournament championship. It’s the first time in 15 years–Brey’s entire tenure–that ND hung anything in the Joyce Center rafters. It’s also stoked some hopes in South Bend that the Irish may reach the tournament’s second weekend for the first time in 12 years. Between Pat Connaughton and a raft of wings like Jerian Grant, ND has the horses to run to the Sweet 16.

Alright AJ, before we get to the picks, did you want to say anything else about your love of the NIT?

ajIVKM,

Greetings. It’s great to see you here between kick-offs. You know it’s good timing for you to check in when I start comparing college basketball’s postseason to STDs, so thank you, in advance, for saving me from myself.

In case you’ve haven’t been monitoring this site’s analytics, old PNPs usually get about 2-3 reads per day. One you can guarantee is me getting nostalgic for the not-too-distant past, and the other two are Patton Oswalt-in-real-life sympathetic creatures listening to Dan Patrick in afghan-and-moth-covered basements somewhere in in the Akron suburbs.

Thank goodness for the fringe.

On to basketball: I kind of feel like the Tournament how most feel about the Oscars. Everyone goes along waiting for the next Grown Ups sequel or wondering if JRR Tolkien has another book in him/would take a meeting with JJ Abrams, and all of a sudden—wham!—there’s like 10 movies nominated nobody has ever heard of/seen and all there is to know is that big old manatee Weinstein is behind it and that Cumberbatch guy looks pretty sly and has a fun last name that sounds like the fake belt sash thingy you got to match your date’s dress for prom.

Then all of a sudden, like three weeks later, everyone’s doing their best Ebert all over the face of Richard Linklater who “achingly tells American epics like a French auteur; hard to articulate and at once, nascent” and Birdman, “is a Jazz ensemble of a movie. It’s warm, prickly even to the touch. But beneath its shimmering veneer lies the depth of belonging, of humanity.”

We’re Americans in the early 21st Century, and that means we have the right to be overnight experts on pretty much everything. Some call it elitism, I just say it’s galvanizing.

Here you and I stand, at the precipice of zeros and ones, trying to divine something from the incalculable Plasticine of the NCAA regular season where it seems Kentucky, based on a flawless first act, should be the go to and at 2:1 have the heftiest pre-tourney odds expectations in a decade.

As you rightfully hinted, don’t take the bait.

I’m going with four picks based on one thing: Coaching. Spoiler alert: Should we do an Elite 8/Final Four follow-up, Izzo, Calipari and Coach K may not get the nod as legacy picks. For now, a little flavor from the suit on the bench and how it taints my opening round 5-12 upsets:

  • 12 Buffalo over 5 W VA: No brainer here as Bobby Hurley has had his Bulls overachieving in the stretch; he also has a surprising presence underneath that WVA won’t answer.
  • 12 Wyoming over 5 N. Iowa: Not the hottest pick at the book, but Larry Shyatt has quietly done some nice work in cowboy land. He directly descends from Billy Donovan’s mid-’00 glory days at Florida.

And my sexiest of all sexy first-round picks.

  • 12 Wofford over 5 Arkansas: First off, Arkansas is there by conference association/default only. Second, coach Mike Young has been skulking around the Southern Conference for more than a quarter century (head coach for 13) manning, get ready for it…the terrible Terriers. That takes cojones. He schedules up and he beats down (toughest non-conference schedule in the nation). Look for those terriers to nip their way into the Sweet 16.

OK KM, did I mention I’m insanely jealous of your upcoming 48 hours and in my next installment below will lead off with why it’s a good idea for you to spend at least a morning at the Caesar’s sports book–and not feel emasculated by it.

kyleIVAJ,

Ahhh, the 5-12 upset. As much a staple of March Madness as ‘this thing makes what?’ takes and ‘there’s hungry nights‘ takes.

PNP feels good to get back to, like O’Shea’s on the strip: you know there’s a lot more to the world than this but it’s fun and comfortable.

I’ve been focusing like a laser on the Thursday’s matchups, so let me take you through the day in an attempt to keep your money at the book for 12 straight hours. (All times PST. Dad, add three.)

9:15 a.m.

Notre Dame -12.5 vs. Northeastern

These two teams are both just godawful rebounders. The saving grace for both the Irish (29-5, 14-4 ACC) and the Huskies (23-11, 12-6 CAA) is that they’re efficient in their shot selection, being second and 12th in field goal percentage nationally. Northeastern’s home league, the Colonial, was young and weak this year. The Irish just rolled up UNC and Duke in Carolina on consecutive nights with a 9 point average margin of victory. Throw in the fact that there are a ton of ND fans in a three-hour radius of Pittsburgh and this thing gets to barn-burner status early in the second half.

11:10 a.m.

Arizona vs. Texas Southern +23.5

Outside of my Michigan State Spartans, Mike Davis’s Texas Southern Tigers (22-12, 16-2 SWAC) lost to every single tournament team they played this year. But, when you figure the team started with 15 of their first 16 on the road, mostly against power conference teams, Davis beat the living hell of these guys and they’re the tougher for it. The Tigers can get out and run with a high-scoring offense like Arizona’s (31-3, 16-2 PAC 12), averaging close to 80 a game over their current 11 game win-streak. The Wildcats should definitely advance to Saturday, but I have a feeling Davis’s squad isn’t going to make it that comfortable.

1:40 p.m.

Ohio State vs. VCU +4

What to make of Shaka Smart’s Rams (26-9, 12-6 A10) and their matchup with the aforementioned Russell and the Buckeyes (23-10, 11-7)? VCU unleashed that trademarked havoc defensively in their league tournament, but outside of a 93-73 total pwning of Davidson in the semifinals, they didn’t look dominant on the other side of the rock. The trick with OSU is you really only need to make your deal with the devil and allow Russell to get his to shut out the rest of the off-brand clowns Columbus tried to pass off as a basketball team this season. I think VCU decides to get dirty with the Buckeyes and take this down to the wire.

4:20 p.m.

North Carolina -10.5 vs. Harvard

“Them apples” taste like having your ass handed to you because you scored 27 points the last time you played a tournament-bound team this season. The entire game. I’d take the Heels by anything south of 28 should this line fluctuate.

6:57 p.m.

Georgetown vs. Eastern Washington +7.5

Someone hate hates Georgetown (21-10 12-6 Big East). Portland probably has a Hoya alumni network consisting of three dudes and they’re going to need to all cancel on their beer and poutine pairing dinner to attend this abject disaster of a 4-13. “Hey Georgetown, great season, here’s your four seed, a trip across three time zones, an opponent in Eastern Washington (26-8, 14-4 Big Sky) that is the third-highest scoring team in the country and only lost once in the Pacific Northwest this season.” Seriously, I wonder if Hoya coach John Thompson II picked someone on the selection committee last in a shirt n’ skins game.

There you have it, AJ, sunup to sundown on day 1. You had something to say about the palace of the man who crossed the Rubicon?

ajIVYou know what KM, I thought football is where it all went down for you, but you got this basketball shit covered.

Like, I was gonna do some first-rounder picks but as you saw from my tap dance up top I look like Gregory Hines to your Baryshnikov, which isn’t bad, mind you, it’s just…a bit inferior.

Since this is a column (to me) as much about what you’re going to consume while you’re betting as the betting itself (sidenote: KM is currently boarding the Ryanair flight from RNO-LAS, flying in the vape section of course, to enjoy all that man’s wrath and greed and facility and frivolity has wrought.) Did I mention I was jealous? So so very jealous. Jealous to the point that I’m hoping the Virtual Reality world that was revealed to us in Disclosure will come to be before tomorrow afternoon.

Like how could I reenact my swim through the Treasure Island moat of ’98 or what was I doing waking up in a Circus Circus broom closet and why was there a tapped keg of Busch Light next to me?

If I could be anyone in the next day or two, I’d be my teen crush Maureen Flannigan (Evie from Out of this World) who could stop time by touching her index fingers together because she was sired by an alien and raised by Annette from Saturday Night Fever. (Side note: If you look at the screen credits here, she used her powers mostly to un-spill paint, but I would use it to pause time and visit the following locations on El Strip.)

In other words, here’s where I’d go:

  • You got it KM: Start at aforementioned Caesar’s sports book. The only place that pours Lagunitas (free!) and they keep it coming if you throw a fiver in the video poker. It’s adjacent to the Forum Food Court which is full of options: Tiger Noodle House has a great secret shitter (just tuck back behind the kitchen, follow the hot servers on their way outside for a e-cig break), DiFara Pizza always has chicks out front giving out free pizza samples—key—and Smashburger will actually give you that nice 10 a.m. primer you need for when you sidle up next to a bunch of JV coaches from Irvine who decide to start ordering up the Cazadores while one of the big screens is still showing Kathie and Hoda in the Fourth Hour (drink every time KL says ‘Hoda’). Great place to get a good jump start and, unlike the MGM, the line to lay 24 on Zona won’t stretch all the way out to the Rainforest Cafe.
  • Around noon when things start getting serious, head over to Mandalay Bay. Best book on the strip by far and a few good beer joints including Rí Rá Irish Pub which has more legit taps than the Dublin airport. When it’s time to jump to the light, head for (get ready for it—all caps) DAYLIGHT Beach Club where it’s absolutely going to be going off just like Spring Break 2002 when Nelly came from Nellyville and made everyone think about talking about taking their clothes off. 3 p.m. basecoat burger number two to keep it going should happen at Mandalay’s Burger Bar, which has 100 bottles of beer to choose from, none of them have a bike with big tires on it or a sun with a frilly mohawk on the label.
  • Evening games, it’s time to get serious: Westgate (née the Vegas Hilton) is a little off strip but that’s where the gamers game and the bros stay away. Sock tans, Dockers hemmed just above the knee, belt buckle brushing the navel and that kind of carpety smell that Vegas post-1995 had almost totally replaced with tough-to-smudge-and-cut surfaces. It’s like walking into a home with a kitchen that hasn’t yet been torn out and replaced with stainless and Ikea, sometimes the 30-year-old shit was just built to last. Westgate, indeed, is.

Also KM, and this is from experience, Vegas has become a victim of its own marketing. My last few trips I’ve felt more like my time is beyond controlled to the point where I’m just kind of given one of those Men-in-Black face shots at the end and told “Yeah, you had a pretty good time, nothing too crazy. Pretty good.” You have to go off piste to find something a little less savory than what most are searching for. (hint: it usually lives in broom closets.) I hope you and your Michigan crew do follow suit and get a little weird.

Speaking of, if I’m you KM, I throw the keys to the PTCRZR on the book’s cultured marble and ask for it all on UCLA+3 against SMU. I love Larry Brown’s ABA-inspired sartorial statements as much as the next guy, but the Bruins take by double digits…and now you’ve got some bankroll to play with so you can at least buy your way out of having to Fireball.

kyleIVAJ,

You know how to do Vegas. The Burger Bar at Mandalay Bay is a don’t miss for yours truly every time I’m in Sin City. The meat is phenomenal, the beer selection is on par with any hipster-run gastropub…but the booze milkshakes are where it’s at. Every time I end up there, it’s at dusk after a long day of drinking, so I necessarily need to continue that behavior while also imbibing something to re-coat my throat and stomach. Enter the bazillion dollar booze milkshake. Nothing simultaneously tells your body to shut down while activating every mischievous corner of your brain like the booze shake.

Vodka/Red Bull guy is missing out on the soothing part of sending your body into the booze/sugar spin cycle.

ANYWAY…Here’s what I’m looking at for Friday:

St. John’s vs. San Diego St. -3

The Red Storm (21-11, 10-8 Big East) have struggled all year against tournament teams and come into the Big Dance on a two-game slide with losses to Providence and Villanova. Steve Fisher’s Aztecs (26-8, 14-4 MW) aren’t as strong as usual, but they had enough in the tank to bounce a very good Colorado State team in the Mountain West tournament (and, ultimately, into the NIT). Fisher’s teams play slow, methodical offensive and lock-you-up defense.

Indiana +5.5 vs Wichita State

Um, Tom Crean and his Hoosiers (20-13, 9-9 Big Ten) need this game, desperately. Crean is almost guaranteed to be on the hot seat next season because he’s lousy at x’s and o’s, suffered mass defections to the NBA and his kids have disciplinary problems. The Shockers (28-4, 17-1 MVC) get boned by the Missouri Valley Conference–to secure primetime TV rights, the league wraps up its conference tournament a week before everyone else. 13 days off isn’t what you want going into a tournament that demands rhythm and cohesion. Look for the Hoosiers to keep it close or win.

Gonzaga -18 vs. North Dakota State

The Bulldogs get to play in front of a home crowd at Seattle’s Key Arena. I understand the Fargo Knights of Columbus chapter will be hosting a combination fish fry/watch party down at the hall.

AJ, that’s all I got man. See you on the other side.

ajIVKM,

You got your boarding pass and your big dreams and I got my spot on the couch…and I’m already spent.

Almost.

Speaking of Friday, the eighth-seeded Oregon Ducks take on the ninth-seeded Oklahoma State Cowboys in what’s going to amount to the highest-scoring West Region matchup of the weekend (take the over).

The spread opened with Ducks -1 and I say Phil Knight takes T. Boone by nine. The Cowboys went upside down in the Big 12 (8-10) and while the Pac-12 is only sending four teams dancing at least a pair (UCLA and Arizona) will be there in the round of 16.

The Ducks’ only late-season stumble was a hangover Pac 12 championship game in, you guessed it, Vegas, where they decided to hit the Sex and the City slots in the second half and let Arizona mop it up 80-52.

Before that, they’d gone 7-7 against the spread to end the season. The Boys, meantime went one for six against the spread to limp into the postseason and doesn’t have an answer for the mighty guard Joseph Young.

The PNP Recap—NCAA Tournament first-round action:

ajIVThursday:

UCLA+3 vs. SMU

Wofford over Arkansas – moneyline

Friday:

Oregon -1 vs. Oklahoma State

Buffalo over W VA – moneyline

Wyoming over N. Iowa – moneyline

kyleIVThursday:

Notre Dame -12.5 vs. Northeastern

Arizona vs. Texas Southern +23.5

Ohio State vs. VCU +4

North Carolina -10.5 vs. Harvard

Georgetown vs. Eastern Washington +7.5

Friday:

St. John’s vs. San Diego St. -3

Indiana +5.5 vs Wichita State

Gonzaga -18 vs. North Dakota State

The long-waited and necessary return of the Yellowstone Wolf

What we know, what we think, and what we’re finding out 20 years after the return of the top dog to the Northern Rockies

Written by Kyle Magin

There are a few different ways to comprehend the two-decade mark of the return of wolves to Yellowstone National Park.

There’s the bleeding heart’s joy over hearing the wolf’s song again in the park’s Lamar Valley—the American Serengeti. It was extinguished from this forest-and-mountain-ringed-meadow in the 1920s, not to be heard again until the winter of 1995.

There’s the bean counter’s cold-blooded calculations. From the original 1995 and 1996 introductions of 31 Canadian wolves, and the 1997 introduction of 10 more from Northwestern Montana, there are today close to 500 wolves in the world’s first national park.

In Yellowstone’s multi-billion dollar tourism economy, more than 44 percent of visitors said they came to try to see or hear wolves according to a 2005 tourism report.

There’s the hunter’s and the rancher’s bitching. Wolves took 256 sheep and 41 cattle in areas surrounding the park in the first 10 years after reintroduction. While it was less than expected and a fraction of the 355,000 sheep and 1.3 million cattle in Wyoming, that’s easier to say when you don’t make your living off of those sheep and cattle.

Hunters saw vast declines in their personal “elk farm”—that’s how wildlife biologist and Yellowstone’s wolf reintroduction head man Doug Smith termed the park pre-reintroduction, before their historic predator showed back up near Roosevelt’s famous arch. But Wyoming, Montana and Idaho have all reaped millions in revenues when the wolf was de-listed late in the 2000s and made available for hunting.

You can view the last 20 years through an ecologist’s filter, as I prefer to. Studies over the past 10 years are finding Mufasa-explaining-the-circle-of-life-to-Simba benefits of the return of an apex predator.

An overpopulation of sickly elk with almost no natural predators ate everything in sight. Trees disappeared from around streams, and along with them songbirds and beavers. Beavers stopped making dams and ponds, which create wetlands and retain water so it releases downstream (to ranches outside the park, ironically) in a controlled fashion over the course of the year rather than all at once following a storm.

Then the wolves came back. By now some of their pack names are legendary: the Druids, the Beartooths, the Nez Perce.

Elk, wary of being eaten, left the stream-zones. They got healthier and leaner now that they had to stay on their toes. The cottonwoods and willows came back. Warblers came to live in the trees. Beavers came to knock a few down. They created mud flats for more trees to grow in, and wetlands to retain rain water. All sorts of plants, fish, amphibians and reptiles found homes in the reeds and willows again.

The top dog came home, and nature balanced itself back out.

Viewed through any lens, loving, hateful or clinical—the reintroduction of wolves to Yellowstone is one of the most momentous milestones in our lifetime. A landscape-changing predator was returned to a people who had originally chased it off. A symbol of America’s wilds—competitor, benevolent force of nature, historic piece of the puzzle—was back in the fold.

Pulling it off wasn’t easy and is still a struggle. But I think it made us better.

Long live Yellowstone’s wolves—because you need a thorn in your side, a master on the food chain and a living, breathing reminder that something calls all those beautiful waterfalls, mountains and geysers home.

Pints and Picks Week 4: No bye week for bad bets

Each week DPB’s Kyle Magin and Andrew J. Pridgen will pour on the prose with Pints and Picks™. Who to wager and what to drink while doing it. Here then, is their point-counterpoint for Sept 27, 2014. Or, if you’re in the car, simply scroll down for the recap (they may be verbose, but it’s better than clicking through a slideshow).

AJ: Kyle, why are there bye weeks in college football? I mean, I get why they’re there in the NFL—basically an opportunity to get arrested in the club and for the league to fuck with fantasy owners who deserve to be fucked with. But there’s no reason for this in college other than maybe to see what FCS campus gets the biggest spike in date rape and frat house electronics raids over the idle weekend.

I only ask this because bye weeks in college used to not exist and now that they do, it brings an even bigger air of “professionalism” (air quotes) and indentured servitude to the amateur gridiron ranks. If the NCAA said, “We schedule bye weeks around midterms because academics” I’d be good with that. Happy even. But the real reason is to stretch out the post-season and turn college football into a 20-week endeavor (i.e. almost two-thirds the academic year) for the almighty bottom line—of which the athletes themselves see not a penny (and that’s where the lap top thefts come in).

Since you’re pretty good about finding out the why of things the way I’m good at identifying the season of Magnum PI (and episodes) where he tries to track down the ghost of his allegedly deceased wife, let me know if you know.

Otherwise, I take it now that you’re off the schneid you’re not taking a bye this week.

Me, I’m still trying to feel this week out like a Junior High dance. There’s no match up that stands out as a stone cold lock; and it has to be watchable to be (not a word: betable). <-One of my cardinal rules—the other is to never trust a Yelp reviewer whose mouth is wide open on their profile photo.

For now, a couple quick comments:

• Why is Wyoming traipsing around the country in pursuit of getting bitch-slapped? Is it like an anything-is-better-than-staying-home-and-risk-getting-shot-in-the-face-by-Dick-Cheney thing? First Oregon and now Michigan State? It kind of reminds me of those Pat Hill-era Fresno State teams which burned through their Southwest miles to go get rolled up by the SEC and ACC and Big-10 before limping back to the parched Valley and dominating, um, Wyoming …and most of the rest of the Mountain West. To be fair, Wyoming does have a slightly guttier squad than they originally got credit for (think corn snow-fed defense) and should give Sparty fits for at least a quarter or two. If you can get a first-half prop bet for the Cowboys at +10 or above, that’s better odds than your drunk-as-fuck out-of-town guest trying to pull a credit card advance on the gaming floor.

• Missouri on the road at South Carolina getting only 6.5. The Gamecocks are hotter than a rescue pit mix locked in a ’93 Aerostar in the parking lot of the Piggly Wiggly since forgetting Manziel was in the NFL and dropping their opener against Texas A&M. The Cocks have won three straight and Missouri is reeling from what should’ve amounted to a midweek January stumble on the hardcourt to the Hoosiers at home last week. Can Mizzou regroup or will South Carolina’s Mike Davis and Brandon Wilds harass QB Maty Mauk who already has four ints to go with 14 teeders …and, you know what, this spread sucks. Fuck this game.

…I’m going to pause right there and say I was running some errands with a buddy during the lunch hour today (he’s planning a birthday party for a one-year-old which basically means crappy burgers, a weird sheet cake that is actually just flypaper with white frosting and a couple of fifths because apparently one is too young to remember seeing your folks and their friends black out) and we ended up at Costco. Still $1.50 for a polish and a soda.

The thing is, we were the only sub-octagenarains dining there. All these Burns-postured McMurphys who’d escaped from “Serene Gardens” next door were gumming on these intestines and entrails pressed into a tube while gangsta leaning off their Rascals made me wonder: Do the old folks know something I don’t? Like, If I have one meal left, it’s gotta be Costco (because it is glorious, especially when you remember to ask for the slaw) or does it just kill a lot of time to try to gum down a dog the size of your shriveled and veiny neck midday on a weekday when you’re at the station of life when time, quite literally, can’t go any slower—and yet, you don’t have much of it left.

I guess what I’m really trying to say is, I just have a lot more questions than answers this week.

Kyle? You there? You still reading?

Kyle: AJ, the middle school dance analogy couldn’t be more apt. I have an overwhelming urge to skip this week completely and tell all of our readers I was off doing some really cool stuff. In reality, I’ll probably be reading Madeleine L’Engle and trying to stay up for MadTV and hope my father (who, coincidentally, is visiting this weekend) doesn’t come out and turn it off when they swear for like the only time in the whole show.

MadTV featured the stylings of Michael McDonald (not this one, not that one, this one), a USC alum, and that’s my segue into talking about one of the only games that probably matter this weekend. With no ranked matchups, it’s going to be interesting to watch Oregon State-SC (-9) in the sense that it’ll be interesting to see your neighbor walk out the door with his 14-year-old dog tomorrow. Hey, still on the right side of the dirt, eh Fido?

The 2-1 Trojans are a technically, I suppose, still in the playoff race. Stanford exposed SC’s inability to get anything done in the red zone with a run game that’s hampered when it doesn’t have room to breath in a game the Trojans won 13-10. Boston College pantsed SC’s run defense in a 37-31 victory on Chestnut Hill. Both of these tell me the men of Troy aren’t yet sound in their line play. Mike Riley’s Beavers aren’t very good at running the ball on aggregate—they’re 91st in rushing in the nation—but in the first quarter, few offenses are as effective at running and passing the ball as 3-0 Oregon State, who put up more points early (10.5) than every other team in the Pac 12 North. If they can kick the Trojans’ line in the teeth early, I think OSU Quarterback Sean Mannion can play keep-up with a very potent SC passing attack.

Surveying the rest of the college football landscape leaves that bye week to be desired.

American Conference favorite Cincinnati visits Ohio State as a 15.5-point dog, and that’s halfway intriguing. Looking at the rest of this schedule is sort of like looking at the area surrounding Charleton Heston after that ship crashed in the first Planet of the Apes. Guess we’ll have to get walking.

AJ: Kyle, nice call on bringing the pops to town during the week of bettors doldrums. Now, instead of sitting indoors and inhaling the second-hand smoke of the sports book, the two of you can ramble around the Sierras inhaling the first-hand smoke of arsonists.

I think we agree this is a trap week as far as NCAA wagering goes. None of the spreads seem at all enticing and, as you pointed out, the dearth of compelling matchups (besides conference-centric spoiler games like Stanford at U-Dub) make this the week to take a BCS breather—and set the crosshairs on October baseball.

Namely Mr. Magin, the prospect of four very disparate and very under-(over?)achieving-for-different-reasons West Coast franchises making it to the playoffs.

It’s a Freaky Friday moment for baseball West of Lovelock. You’ve got the perennial lovable A’s who went out and made a splash at the trade deadline, only to wallow in the second half like so much locker room sludge through the AL West with dead arms and a listless clubhouse en route to a wildcard berth.

You have the predictably unpredictable Giants across the bridge who had a fiery start and a nine-game lead in May only to lose two-time world champion aces Matt Cain from the starting five (still unknown injury) and Tim Lincecum (still undiagnosed velocity problems) but somehow picked up where Oakland left off and went not with the big trades but with the white-flag youth movement: Hunter Strickland, Chris Hesten, Erik Cordier and even skipper’s son Brett Bochy have all contributed on the mound. Back-up backstop Andrew Susac has been clutch off the bench and in spelling Buster Posey and infielders Joe Panik and Matt Duffy have been key contributors plugging the middle whilst performing at the plate. The suddenly youth-infused G-men didn’t have enough in the tank to catch the boys in blue with the quarter-billion-dollar payroll and the world’s greatest stadium, but they do have a good chance of beating the Pirates in the wildcard sudden-death scenario and finding themselves the object of Joe Buck’s scorn again.

In Southern California, it’s a battle of swollen payrolls and depleting expectations. The Halos, who had all but given up on The Last Investment Albert Pujols till he decided to come out of the orange groves and hit a respectable .273 with 28 bombs and 104 RBIS (and he’s not done yet). Mike Trout is baseball’s lone superstar right now and the singing cowboy’s starting rotation featuring innings eaters Jared Weaver (18-8, 3.52 ERA), CJ Wilson (13-10, 4.61 ERA) and Matt Shoemaker (16/4, 3.04 ERA) suddenly looks like baseball’s best even without the services of Garrett Richards (13-4, 2.61 ERA). The hedge fund-backed Dodgers’ have the best pitcher in baseball in Clayton Kershaw. The once-in-a-generation starter-next-door has mastery of three pitches usually thrown in a way three different pitchers might; fastball, 90-plus, a makes-you-swing-from-the-heels slider in the high-80s and an elevator curve in the mid-70s. It’s like facing vintage Barry Zito, Pedro Martinez and Greg Maddox—in one at-bat. Kershaw recently notched his 20th win, has an ERA under 1.80 and tosses 100-pitch complete game shutouts like Drysdale the get away afternoon after a Saturday night bender. Kershaw alone almost makes one forget that any player who came up under Castro thinks hitting the cut-off man is a Fredo Corleone reference.

You got your Tigs Kyle, but the prospect of not only an all West Coast World series, but LCSs makes me giggle. I know Fox shares Erin Andrews’ resting bitchface scowl when it comes to the knowledge that KC, not NY will be in the playoffs and Mr. Jeter’s farewell bonanza is but a week away from coming to a cleaned-out-locker and teary press conference halt. All that historic footage from the pre-device ’90s shelved for roll out at Cooperstown in 2020. And what the fuck will Ken “He shoulda been-a dentist” Rosenthal talk about as Buck cuts Harold Reynolds off on the cutaways with no DJ?

With that, I’d like to be a sort of World Series wager Sommelier. First off, like a fine wine, many teams age into BETTER odds of winning Bud Selig’s final Commissioner’s Trophy as the season matures. But like your great aunt’s Bradford Exchange plate collection, not all teams go up in value. At the start of the season the last-place Red Sox were 12/1 (ditto Rays). The aforementioned Yankees, who are now 300/1 to take a Champagne bath, started out at 14/1. The Orioles who started the season at 35/1 are now 13/2—not bad for a runaway division champ. And your Motor City hardballers are a solid 6/1. For my money though, I’m liking either the A’s or the Giants at 12/1 to bring the hardware back to the Biggedy. After all, Giants fans, it is an even-numbered year.

Kyle, I know you’re headed out the door to see nature’s splendor with the man who pulled you out of oblivion and plopped you on this big blue-infused chunk of spinning granite, but I KNOW you’re laying down your World Series picks this week… so, (Pacino voice) what’dya got?!

Kyle: AJ, I’ve never been more happy to talk baseball during betting season, a sport I usually avoid at the book like the plague. It will also grease the wheels of conversation with the old man while we’re waiting for his knees to stabilize after I drag him up a few thousand feet above his normal playing altitude.

I, too, think the road to the World Series is definitely coming through California. Too many hardball-related planets are aligning with the Golden State. Dave Stewart is LaRussa’s new lapdog in Arizona. Scully is back again next year! I found out, just this week, that they still have an MLB team in San Diego.

As a Tigers fan, I hate to say it, but the Los Angeles Angels of Disneyland at 9/2 to win the series is the best bet at the book. Jeff Weaver is a horse, Matt Shoemaker has walked one guy for every 9 he’s struck out since the break and Wade Leblanc hasn’t given up a run in his last two starts headed into the postseason. Everybody has been getting on in front of Albert Pujols and he’s been driving all of them in—he’s got roughly an RBI per game over the last month, while Mike Trout continues to ape Barry Bonds with his slugging prowess. Gordon Beckham and Howie Kendrick have gotten on-base as often as anyone in the league over the last month. There’s just no way I see someone getting around this time save some massive power outage from Pujols and Trout.

In the NL—and I know this won’t be popular with much of our readership—I like the Dodgers. I don’t love them at 9/5, but in the “who’s going to win this thing” sense, I think we’re geared up for a freeway series. Which, wow, Randy Newman is going to RAKE royalties from FOX. It’ll make Erin’s Dancing with the Stars schedule manageable—I won’t have to put up with her whiny-ass Instagram posts from a private jet about #grinding from coast to coast.

We’ll get some hoity-toity reminders from the New Yorker about all the poor-ass people who got bulldozed out of Chavez Ravine 60-plus years ago to make way for one of the top-five stadiums in baseball. It’ll be gross and engrossing, all at once.

The Dodgers’ Matt Kemp, Justin Turner, Carl Crawford and Scott Van Slyke have been hitting the living shit out the ball over the last month—all four are in the top-15 of OPS over that stretch. Even with Puig’s second-half power outage, I don’t see how anyone else keeps up with the boys in blue. Selig passes out his last trophy south of the Grapevine.

AJ: Gotta agree it may be Los Doyers’ year and hey that Randy Newman song was supposed to be ironic; like how big a shithole-where-small-town-dreams-go-to-die-with-a-gooey-tarpit-center LA is. It makes me laugh every time the Dodgers notch a W and it bounces off the Hollywood sign and into the night. I love it! I love it! I love it!

Oh, yeah, the Huskies are better than David Shaw’s listless and unproven farm squad. Take the dawgs and the 6 points against the Cardinal (at home!) for a share of the Pac-12 North lead.

The PnP Recap:

Last week:
AJ: 3-3
Kyle: 1-2

Overall:
AJ: 8-12
Kyle: 1-7

This week:
AJ:

• Washington +6 vs. Stanford
• SF Giants (or Oakland A’s) at 12/1 to win the World Series

Kyle:
• Oregon State +12.5 @ USC
• LA Dodgers (9/5) or LA Angels (9/2) to win the World Series